Ebrill, Liam P.; Fries, Steven M. - In: IMF Staff Papers 38 (1991) 4, pp. 736-750
A U.S. inflation-forecasting model recently developed by the Federal Reserve--the so-called P* relationship--is analyzed. An innovation in that model is the significance of M2 velocity in predicting changes in inflation. However, this paper's empirical analysis indicates that an inflation...