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A decision-analysis-based framework for analysing stakeholder behaviour in scenario planning

Cairns, George; Goodwin, Paul; Wright, George - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 249 (2016) 3, pp. 1050-1062

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011439268

Scenario analysis to support decision making in addressing wicked problems : pitfalls and potential

Wright, George; Cairns, George; O'Brien, Frances; … - In: European journal of operational research : EJOR 278 (2019) 1, pp. 3-19

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012102587

Performance measurement in the M4 competition : possible future research

Goodwin, Paul - In: International journal of forecasting 36 (2020) 1, pp. 189-190

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012406249

Commentary on "Transparent modelling of influenza incidence" : the need to justify complexity

Goodwin, Paul - In: International journal of forecasting 38 (2022) 2, pp. 628-629

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348683

Decision making and planning under low levels of predictability: Enhancing the scenario method

Wright, G.; Goodwin, P. - 2009

In this paper we review and analyse scenario planning as an aid to anticipation of the future under conditions of low predictability. We examine how successful the method is in mitigating issues to do with inappropriate framing, cognitive and motivational bias, and inappropriate attributions of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009428650

Behavioral issues in the practical application of scenario thinking : cognitive biases, effective group facilitation and overcoming business-as-usual thinking

Bryson, Stephanie; Grime, Megan; Murthy, Adarsh; … - In: Behavioral operational research : theory, methodology …, (pp. 195-212). 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011503164

Delphi with feedback of rationales : how large can a Delphi group be such that participants are not overloaded, de-motivated, or disengaged?

Belton, Ian; Wright, George; Sissons, Aileen; Bolger, Fergus - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 170 (2021), pp. 1-12

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012805392

Scenario planning and foresight : advancing theory and improving practice

Wright, George; O'Brien, Frances; Meadows, Maureen; … - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 159 (2020), pp. 1-3

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012519611

Improving the practical application of the Delphi method in group-based judgment : a six-step prescription for a well-founded and defensible process

Belton, Ian; MacDonald, Alice; Wright, George; Hamlin, Iain - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 147 (2019), pp. 72-82

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012228249

Teaching scenario analysis : an action learning pedagogy

Bradfield, Ron; Cairns, George; Wright, George - In: Technological forecasting & social change : an … 100 (2015), pp. 44-52

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011571311

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