Abstract Die bekannten demografischen Trends hinterlassen beim Arbeitskräfteangebot deutliche Spuren: Während in den kommenden 10 bis 15 Jahren noch mit einem nur leicht rückläufigen Arbeitskräftepotenzial zu rechnen ist, nimmt es danach derart ab, dass weder eine höhere Erwerbstätigkeit...

Unemployment in Germany strongly increased in 2005. Beside other influences a labor market reform that came into force in 2005 (Hartz IV reform) was ascribed to redistribute hidden to open unemployment. Using different methodological approaches and data sets this article analyses the scale of...

This article proposes an unobserved components approach to disentangle the influence of unemployment on labour participation into a permanent and a cyclical part, connected to discouragement and added worker effect, respectively. By splitting up the participation effect of changes in the...

This paper provides a decomposition of the projected change in the overall labour force into three parts. The first, called the “demographic component”, shows the effects of fertility, mortality and a changing age structure of the population. The second effect is the migration component....