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When and to what extent should forecasts rely on linear model or human judgment? The judgmental forecasting literature suggests that aggregating model and judge using a simple 50:50 split tends to outperform the two inputs alone. However, current research disregards the important role that the...
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This book highlights research on the behavioral biases affecting judgmental accuracy in judgmental forecasting and showcases the state-of-the-art in judgment-based predictive analytics. In recent years, technological advancements have made it possible to use predictive analytics to exploit...
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Behavioral Decision Analysis - Past, Present and Future -- Behavioral Decision Research: Descriptive and Prescriptive Perspectives -- Behavioral Biases in the Uncertainty Quantification Process -- Analyzing Decisions Under Uncertainty: Simple Tools Of the Heathens -- Should an Analyst Share...
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