Hadley, Lawrence; Ciecka, James; Krautmann, Anthony C. - In: Journal of Sports Economics 6 (2005) 4, pp. 379-389
A new interseasonal measure of competitive balance in a sports league is presented. It is based on a Markov model of a team’s probability of qualifying for postseason play given the performance of the team in the previous season. Transitional probabilities are estimated for Major League...