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Causal inference is of central interests in many empirical applications yet often challenging because of the presence of endogenous regressors. The classical approach to the problem requires using instrumental variables that must satisfy the stringent condition of exclusion restriction. At the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512085
This book brings together domains in financial asset pricing and valuation, financial investment theory, econometrics … modeling, and the empirical analyses of financial data by applying appropriate econometric techniques. These domains are highly … performing financial forecasts or empirical modeling who will find it refreshing to see how forecasting is not simply running a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010728951
Many of the challenges in the estimation of dynamic heterogeneous treatment effects can be resolved with local projection (LP) estimators of the sort used in applied macroeconometrics. This approach provides a convenient alternative to the more complicated solutions proposed in the recent...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250201
hostile powers. As econometrics involves the synthesis of theory, data and statistical methods, in reviewing the econometrics …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024401
This chapter is concerned with methods for analyzing spatial data. After initial discussion of the nature of spatial data, including the concept of randomness, we focus most of our attention on linear regression models that involve interactions between agents across space. The introduction of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025316
In this paper we develop a business cycle measure that can be shown to have excellent ex-ante forecasting properties for GDP growth. For identifying business cycle movements, we use a semantic approach. We infer nine different states of the economy directly from firms' responses in business...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003908417
Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models combine microeconomic behavioural foundations with a full-system Bayesian likelihood estimation approach using key macro-economic variables. Because of the usefulness of this class ofmodels for addressing questions regarding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009355420
Bayesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models combine microeconomic behavioural foundations with a full-system Bayesian likelihood estimation approach using key macro-economic variables. Because of the usefulness of this class of models for addressing questions regarding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009355421
We estimate three different models of speculative behaviour using oil price data. There are two major results: (i) The three-regime model of Brooks and Katsaris (2005) and a three-regime variant of van Norden and Schaller (2002) fit the oil price data reasonably well; and (ii) Both models show...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009153468
In this paper, we develop lower bounds on the variance of the permanent component and the transitory component, and on the variance of the ratio of the permanent to the transitory components of SDFs. Exactly solved eigenfunction problems are then used to study the empirical attributes of asset...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009507305