This paper provides new evidence on the long-run relationship between exports and imports of the Iranian economy by employing bounds testing approach to level relationships. In Iran, there have been many unusual policy changes and/or external shocks to the economy; this has resulted in the...

This paper employs a structural time series model designed with three components of stochastic seasonality, trigonometric expression of cyclicality and local linear trend to investigate the evolutionary process of China's GDP. In particular, the model is able to detect the stop–go feature of...

We examine the use of the random walk hypothesis on the BRICS stock indices. Our examination of the stock indices uses a recently developed wavelet-based unit root test by Fan and Gençay (2010) along with a battery of unit root tests. We also examine the sensitivity of the wavelet-based unit...

A CUSUM test is proposed for testing structural breaks in a long-memory heterogeneous autoregressive model. The limiting distribution of the CUSUM test is shown to be a simple function of a standard Brownian bridge, contrasting with the nuisance parameter dependent asymptotics of other CUSUM...

This paper examines the ASEAN-5 countries and explores the impact of structural breaks on the level of financial integration in that region. An extended cointegration procedure allowing for three types of structural break, is employed and compared with the standard Johansen procedure, for daily...

We revisit time-variation in the Phillips curve, applying new Bayesian panel methods with breakpoints to US and European Union disaggregate data. Our approach allows us to accurately estimate both the number and timing of breaks in the Phillips curve. It further allows us to determine the...

We calculate impulse response functions from regime-switching models where the driving variable can respond to the shock. Two methods used to estimate the impulse responses in these models are generalized impulse response functions and local projections. Local projections depend on the observed...

This paper investigates the existence of arbitrage between index linked bonds and conventional ones. Then in a second part we move to study empirically the long-run equilibrium relationship among two French bonds yields (The OAT yields and OATi ). In practice we estimated different VAR-based...

In this paper, we propose new simple innovational outlier (IO) panel unit root tests with a break. A bootstrap method for dealing with cross-sectional dependence is provided and small sample properties of the bootstrap tests are investigated by Monte Carlo experiments. The panel innovational...