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Central banks have become more independent in many countries. A common rationale has been the existence of a credibility (or lack-of-trust) problem for monetary policy. This indicates a possible and until now unexplored link between social trust and central-bank independence. Our empirical...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011056298
game. Reciprocity induces a positive inflation bias and nominal fluctuations in the monetary union. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005497837
This paper examines the analytical underpinnings of the standard micro portfolio approach to public debt management (PDM) that aims at minimising longer-term cash-flow based borrowing costs at an acceptable level of risk. The study concludes that two technical key assumptions need to hold for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009650195
economy may be affected by the present circumstances of low rates of inflation and low nominal interest rates. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005114302
banker's preferences for inflation stabilization relative to output stabilization. Transparency enhances the central bank …'s accountability. The paper shows that transparency leads to a lower expected rate of inflation and less stabilization of supply shocks. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666712
facilitate credible, low-inflation policies depends critically on the political structure of the monetary union. Efficient …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792300
In recent years, inflation in the euro area has failed to decelerate decisively while cyclical slack built up in the … analysis conducted on two decades of quarterly data covering 17 countries yields a yes on both counts. First, inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444759
We examine inflation and uncertainty in the UK with a version of the Markov Switching model, which allows for changes … in lowering inflation uncertainty. The 1981 budget, however, greatly lowered uncertainty, and the adoption of a formal … inflation target also had a palpable, negative impact on inflation uncertainty. As a suggestive exercise, we examine inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010875215
This paper examines the relationship among money, housing, and consumer price inflation in China since 1998. We use a … real economy via changes in house prices; the changes in house prices are then transmitted to consumer price inflation in … the underlying pattern of inflation behavior in China. Relevant policy implications are also discussed. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010608432
This paper focuses on modeling and forecasting inflation in India using an augmented Phillips curve framework. Both … demand and supply factors are seen as drivers of inflation. Demand conditions are found to have a stronger impact on non …-food manufactured products (NFMP) inflation vis-a-vis headline wholesale price inflation; moreover, NFMP inflation is found to be more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868896