The leading and coincident employment indexes for the state of Connecticut developed following the recession of the early 1990s fell short of expectations. This paper performs two tasks. First, it describes the process of revising the Connecticut Coincident and Leading Employment Indexes....

This paper evaluates the real-time performance of the Delhi School of Economics-Economic Cycle Research Institute (DSE-ECRI) Indian Leading Index for exports for predicting cyclical swings in Indian exports growth. The index comprises the 36-country real effective exchange rate and leading...

This paper examines various measures of synchronisation of recessions, including clustering of the onset of recession across economies, proportion of economies in expansion and the diffusion index of international coincident indexes, and shows that the recent global recession is possibly the...