In this paper we adopt the Markov-switching heteroscedasticity model to analyse the inflation series for G7 countries and examine the interaction between inflation rate and its uncertainty over both the short- and long-run. It is found that the relationship between inflation and inflation...

Purpose – To provide an alternative channel of investigation of comovement in four large European equity markets over a sample period of nearly 30 years. Design/methodology/approach – The paper adopts a two stage methodological approach. In the first instance, the interaction between the...

In this paper, we propose a discrete version of the short-term and long-term component model of the agricultural futures prices. The maximum likelihood estimate of each parameter is obtained using an adaptive filtering algorithm. The diagnostics statistically support the specification of the...

Basic Probability Theory and Markov Chains -- Estimation Techniques -- Non-Parametric Method of Estimation -- Unit Root, Cointegration and Related Issues -- VAR Modeling -- Time Varying Volatility Models -- State-Space Models (I) -- State-Space Models (II) -- Discrete Time Real Asset Valuation...

We investigate the cyclical component dynamics of US macroeconomic variables and oil benchmark prices in a regime-switching environment. We compare two different oil benchmark cycles, and the results indicate that WTI and Brent are not perfect substitutes in the US economy when it comes to...