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This paper examines the dynamic relationship between power spot prices and related trading volumes in one of the most emergent energy markets. Traditionally, investigating the bivariate stochastic processes has been dominated by linear econometrical methods that proved helpful especially in...
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In the last decade, with deregulation and introduction of competition in power markets, prices forecasting have become a real challenge for all market participants. However, forecasting is a rather complex task since electricity prices involve many features comparably with financial ones....
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We present a new model for the electricity spot price dynamics, which is able to capture seasonality, low-frequency dynamics and extreme spikes in the market. Instead of the usual purely deterministic trend we introduce a non-stationary independent increment process for the low-frequency...
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Recently regime-switching models have become the standard tool for modeling electricity prices. These models capture the main properties of electricity spot prices well but estimation of the model parameters requires computer intensive methods. Moreover, the distribution of the price spikes must...
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We discuss stochastic modeling of volatility persistence and anti-correlations in electricity spot prices, and for this purpose we present two mean-reverting versions of the multifractal random walk (MRW). In the first model the anti-correlations are modeled in the same way as in an...
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