Evidence from this study suggests that investor sentiment and the peso problem play a significant role in explaining expectation errors, rejecting the unbiased expectation hypothesis (UEH). The deviation of the UEH for long-term rates is mainly attributable to expectation errors, whereas the...

This paper tests the expectations hypothesis (EH) using US monthly data for bond yields spanning the 1952-2003 sample period and ranging in maturity from 1 month to 10 years. We apply the Lagrange multiplier test developed by Bekaert and Hodrick (2001) and extend it to increase the test power:...

Empirical evidence on the expectations hypothesis of the term structure is in-conclusive and its validity widely debated. Using a cointegrated VAR model of US treasury yields, this paper extends a common approach to test the theory. If, as we find, spreads between two yields are non-stationary,...

This Paper studies the term structure of short-term interbank rates in Hong Kong. Principal component analysis suggests that the variation of the term structure can be largely attributed to two components that capture shifts in the level and slope of the yield curve. We find that term spreads...

The aim of the paper is to evaluate the importance of the endogenous money theory, and the criterion used is whether this theory enables us to elaborate on and to broaden the explanation of the non-neutrality of money formulated by Keynes in The General Theory. The thesis upheld in this paper is...

Considerable debate rages about whether Federal Reserve policy was too lax in the early part of the 2000s, thereby fueling the home-price bubble that was the proximate cause of the global financial crisis. We present evidence that the view that modest alterations to monetary policy have vast...

The purpose is to examine some of the links in the chain which is said to run from the rate of interest to the rate of inflation. It is argued that that there is a tendency to slip from arguments which that the rate of interest is related to the price level to suggesting that the rate of...

When the Federal Reserve was established by the US Congress in 1913, its charter mandated that the new central bank “promote an elastic currency” and the institution was given extraordinary powers to serve as a lender of last resort to the banking system. Congress was reacting to the cycle...

This article aims at analysing the relationship between conventions and monetary policy using both the post-Keynesian and the French-conventions-school approaches, treated as complementary; and stressing the design of monetary policy frameworks (for example, inflation targeting) and the setting...

The paper argues that beyond the deviations of the long-term interest rate the monetary authority may cause, it is the rate determined by the market conventional expectations that prevails eventually. Lasting influence requires the authority to be capable of changing the market conventional...