This paper studies various approaches to the equilibrium real effective exchange rate estimation, including structural and direct estimation approaches. It shows their strengths and weaknesses with application to the case of Latvia. Despite the approaches differing considerably in terms of their...

This research uses spectral methodology to study how the volatility of spot exchange rate misalignments changed as a result of signing of the Plaza Accord and introduction of the Euro. We study the deviations of Canadian Dollar/US Dollar, Japanese Yen/US Dollar and US Dollar/British Pound spot...

We propose a novel, multilaterally consistent productivity approach-based indicator to assess the international price competitiveness of 57 industrialized and emerging economies. It is designed to be a useful assessment tool for monetary policy authorities and, thereby, differs from previously...

This paper aims at explaining why the CFA countries have successfully maintained a currency union for several decades, despite failing to meet many of optimum currency area criteria. We suggest that the CFA zone, while not optimal, has been at least sustainable. We test this sustainability...

This paper investigates a link between the most popular currency strategies (carry trade, momentum, value) and sovereign ratings. I document that the profitability of the momentum strategy is large and significant among higher credit risk currencies, but is nonexistent among lower credit risk...

This study examines what role the concept of endogenous uncertainty can have in explaining a phenomenon of international financial markets, the forward discount bias. The forward discount bias puzzle is unexplained by models assuming economic agents have full knowledge of the structure of the...

This study re-evaluates the monetary approach for the Canada/U.S. exchange rate and shows that its basic structure can be verified although the coefficients are not consistently in line with theory. Our findings also indicate that exchange rate adjustment is subject to regime shifts.

This paper studies exchange rate volatility within the context of the monetary model of exchange rates. We assume that agents regard this model as merely a benchmark, or reference model, and attempt to construct forecasts that are robust to model misspecification. We show that revisions of...

This paper reconciles the persistence of aggregate real exchange rates with the faster adjustment of international relative prices in microeconomic data. Error correction model estimates indicate that a different mix of shocks drives international price deviations at the microeconomic level and...