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In this article we introduce an approximately unbiased estimator for the population coefficient of variation, τ, in a normal distribution. The accuracy of this estimator is examined by several criteria. Using this estimator and its variance, two approximate confidence intervals for τ are...
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This book provides a broad introduction to computational aspects of Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) which is a non-parametric technique and requires no prior assumptions such as stationarity, normality or linearity of the series. This book is unique as it not only details the theoretical...
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In this paper, the performance of the Singular Spectrum Analysis (SSA) technique is assessed by applying it to 24 series measuring the monthly seasonally unadjusted industrial production for important sectors of the German, French and UK economies. The results are compared with those obtained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005418423
Real-time data on national accounts statistics typically undergo an extensive revision process, leading to multiple vintages on the same generic variable. The time between the publication of the initial and final data is a lengthy one and raises the question of how to model and forecast the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009279041
The aim of this research is to apply the singular spectrum analysis (SSA) technique, which is a relatively new and powerful technique in time series analysis and forecasting, to forecast the 2008 UK recession, using eight economic time series. These time series were selected as they represent...
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It is shown that the sum of the sample autocorrelation function at lag h≥1 is always −12 for any stationary time series with arbitrary length T≥2 (Hassani, 2009 [1]). In this paper, the distribution of a set of the sample autocorrelation function using the properties of this quantity is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011063467
This paper analyzes stock market relationships among the G7 countries between 1973 and 2009 using three different approaches: (i) a linear approach based on cointegration, Vector Error Correction (VECM) and Granger Causality; (ii) a nonlinear approach based on Mutual Information and the Global...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011040176