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Forecasting the returns from investments in mutual funds is a very difficult problem. This study examines a new … forecasting approach and system for the performance of mutual funds in Greece. This is accomplished via an application of a … implemented into an easy-to-use expert forecasting system. …
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We introduce a number of nonstandard stochastic volatility (SV) models and examine their performance when applied to the series of daily returns on several stocks listed on the New York Stock Exchange. The nonstandard models under investigation extend both the observation process and the...
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Financial forecasting is a difficult task due to the intrinsic complexity of the financial system. A simplified … approach in forecasting is given by "black box" methods like neural networks that assume little about the structure of the …
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In this work, we examine Thomas Reuters News Analytics (TRNA) data. We found several fascinating discoveries. First, we document the phenomenon that we label "Jam-the-Close": The last half hour of trading (15:30 to 16:00 EST) contains a substantial and statistically significant amount of news...
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