In systems for online detection of regime shifts, a process is continually observed. Based on the data available an alarm is given when there is enough evidence of a change. There is a risk of a false alarm and here two different ways of controlling the false alarms are compared: a fixed average...

The study evaluates the economic feasibility of technical analysis in the Indian stock market. It discusses that technical indicators do not outperform Simple Buy and Hold strategy on net return basis for individual stocks. Technical indicators seem to do better during market upturns compared to...

This paper uses multilevel factor models to characterize within- and between-block variations as well as idiosyncratic noise in large dynamic panels. Block-level shocks are distinguished from genuinely common shocks, and the estimated block-level factors are easy to interpret. The framework...

The article compares forecast quality from two atheoretical models. Neither method assumed a priori causality and forecasts were generated without additional assumptions about regressors. Tendency survey data was used within the Bayesian averaging of classical estimates (BACE) framework and...