We compare forecasts from different adaptive learning algorithms and calibrations applied to US real-time data on inflation and growth. We find that the Least Squares with constant gains adjusted to match (past) survey forecasts provides the best overall performance both in terms of forecasting...

We compare forecasts from different adaptive learning algorithms and calibrations applied to US real-time data on inflation and growth. We find that the Least Squares with constant gains adjusted to match (past) survey forecasts provides the best overall performance both in terms of forecasting...

Non-market valuation has become a broadly accepted and widely practiced means of measuring the economic values of the environment and natural resources. In this book, the authors provide a guide to the statistical and econometric practices that economists employ in estimating non-market values

This paper considers methods of estimation of choice probability using Maximum Difference (MaxDiff) technique, also known as Best-Worst Scaling (BWS). The paper shows that on the aggregate level the choice probabilities can be obtained using analytical closed-form solution and other approaches...

A number of equations are available for predicting the output of machining processes. These equations are most commonly used for the prediction of surface roughness after tooling. Surface roughness can be influenced by many factors, including cutting parameters, tool geometry and environmental...

Abstract This paper proposes tests for equality of the mean regression (MR) and quantile regression (QR) coefficients. The tests are based on the asymptotic joint distribution of the ordinary least squares and QR estimators. First, we formally derive the asymptotic joint distribution of these...

Abstract We provide formulae for calculating approximate p-values for the non-standard asymptotic null distributions of a variety of tests used for detecting multiple structural change in a wide range of models. Our approximations are based on simulated quantiles obtained from 100,000...