This paper reports the results of the NN3 competition, which is a replication of the M3 competition with an extension of the competition towards neural network (NN) and computational intelligence (CI) methods, in order to assess what progress has been made in the 10 years since the M3...

This paper reports the results of the NN3 competition, which is a replication of the M3 competition with an extension of the competition towards neural network (NN) and computational intelligence (CI) methods, in order to assess what progress has been made in the 10 years since the M3...

In this paper we investigate the tail behaviour of a random variable S which may be viewed as a functional T of a zero mean Gaussian process X, taking special interest in the situation where X obeys the structure which is typical for limiting processes occurring in nonparametric testing of...

Wieand's theorem on equivalence of limiting approximate Bahadur efficiency and limiting Pitman efficiency is extended in several ways. Conditions on monotonicity and continuity are obviated, composite null hypotheses are incorporated, and the implications of a weaker form of Wieand's Condition...

Recruiting competent personnel is crucial for the success of any organization, and especially in competitive sports, where the success of a team depends upon the quality of the players selected. This paper examines whether football executives are able to forecast who the most successful...

A large amount of effort is spent on forecasting the outcomes of sporting events, but few papers have focused exclusively on the characteristics of sports forecasts. Instead, many papers have been written about the efficiency of sports betting markets. As it turns out, it is possible to derive a...

We show that systematic forecast errors reveal that the Fed is "surprised" by real and inflationary cycles. The Fed knows the state of the economy for the current quarter, but cannot predict it one-quarter ahead.