This paper reports the results of the NN3 competition, which is a replication of the M3 competition with an extension of the competition towards neural network (NN) and computational intelligence (CI) methods, in order to assess what progress has been made in the 10 years since the M3...

This paper reports the results of the NN3 competition, which is a replication of the M3 competition with an extension of the competition towards neural network (NN) and computational intelligence (CI) methods, in order to assess what progress has been made in the 10 years since the M3...

Wieand's theorem on equivalence of limiting approximate Bahadur efficiency and limiting Pitman efficiency is extended in several ways. Conditions on monotonicity and continuity are obviated, composite null hypotheses are incorporated, and the implications of a weaker form of Wieand's Condition...

In this paper we investigate the tail behaviour of a random variable S which may be viewed as a functional T of a zero mean Gaussian process X, taking special interest in the situation where X obeys the structure which is typical for limiting processes occurring in nonparametric testing of...

We show that systematic forecast errors reveal that the Fed is "surprised" by real and inflationary cycles. The Fed knows the state of the economy for the current quarter, but cannot predict it one-quarter ahead.