A large body of empirical research indicates that countries with low policy-induced trade barriers tend to enjoy rapid growth, ceteris paribus. In contrast, alternative theoretical models suggest that the relationship between trade barriers and growth may be contingent on the level of...

The revised edition of the essential resource on macroeconometricsStructural Macroeconometrics provides a thorough overview and in-depth exploration of methodologies, models, and techniques used to analyze forces shaping national economies. In this thoroughly revised second edition, David DeJong...

We develop a model of GDP growth under which regime changes are triggered stochastically by an observable tension index, constructed as the geometric sum of deviations of actual GDP growth from a corresponding sustainable rate. Within expansionary regimes, the tension index tends to increase,...

We use a business cycle model to analyze the general equilibrium implications of a representative agent's decision to devote time to skill acquisition activities, which are modeled as boosting subsequent labor productivity by increasing the stock of human capital. We use aggregate data on...