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The dynamic logit model (DLM) with autocorrelation structure (Liang and Zeger Biometrika 73:13–22, <CitationRef CitationID="CR26">1986</CitationRef>) is proposed as a model for predicting recurrent financial distresses. This model has been applied in many examples to analyze repeated binary data due to its simplicity in computation and...</citationref>
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The dynamic ordered probit model (DOPM) with autocorrelation structure is proposed as a model for credit risk forecasting. It is more appropriate than the DOPM with independence structure, because correlations among repeated credit ratings have been observed by Altman and Kao [<italic>J. Financ. Anal</italic>.,...
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The dynamic ordered varying-coefficient probit model (DOVPM) is proposed as a model for studying credit ratings. It is constructed by replacing the constant coefficients of firm-specific predictors in the dynamic ordered probit model (DOPM) of Blume, Lim and MacKinlay (1998) with the smooth...
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