Torri, Tiziana; Vaupel, James W. - In: International Journal of Forecasting 28 (2012) 2, pp. 519-531
Over the past two centuries, the life expectancy has more than doubled in many countries, for both males and females. The levels of the countries with the highest life expectancies have risen almost linearly. We exploit this regularity by using the classic univariate ARIMA model to forecast...