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access to financial markets and test whether remittances are countercyclical and serve as an insurance mechanism against … secular increase in the trend growth of remittances and random cyclical fluctuations around this trend. In a purely … households facing an increasing trend for remittances. A flexible floating regime is preferred when unanticipated shocks driving …
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This paper examines the choice of optimal exchange rate regime for an oil-exporting small open economy using a welfare-based model. The paper extends the standard New Keynesian Small Open Economy model to include three countries: a small oil-exporting country and two large foreign countries. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010729808
Does the fiscal multiplier depend on the exchange rate regime and, if so, how strongly? To address this question, we first estimate a panel vector autoregression (VAR) model on time-series data for OECD countries. We identify the effects of unanticipated government spending shocks in countries...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083977
According to conventional wisdom, fiscal policy is more effective under a fixed than under a flexible exchange rate regime. In this paper we reconsider the transmission of shocks to government spending across these regimes within a standard new-Keynesian model of a small open economy. Because of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008784752
A traditional argument in favor of flexible exchange rates is that they insulate output better from real shocks, because the exchange rate can adjust and stabilize demand for domestic goods through expenditure switching. This argument is weakened in models with high foreign currency debt and low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010636567
The recent global financial crisis has sparked a renewal of debate on the choice of exchange rate regimes. Creating a tripartite regime classification, the present study examines their determinants for 137 nations spanning the period 1999–2011. I find that trade openness, economic development,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010930979
We show that the composition of international trade has important implications for the optimal volatility of the exchange rate, above and beyond the size of trade flows. Using an analytically tractable small open economy model, we characterize the impact of the trade composition on the policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010776976
Following Chairman Ben Bernanke’s comments before Congress that the FOMC may ‘take a step down in the pace of asset purchases if economic improvement appears to be sustained’, US 10-year interest rates picked up sharply and gross capital flows to emerging market economies (EMEs) reversed....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276981