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rates on domestic inflation, which may have contributed to differences in policy stances during the boom in commodity prices …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012446312
This chapter examines the concept of inflation persistence in macroeconomic theory. It begins by defining persistence … persistence from the literature on imperfect information models, learning models, and so-called “trend inflation models …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025671
rates on domestic inflation, which may have contributed to differences in policy stances during the boom in commodity prices …, they cannot explain them all.<P>Réponse de l'inflation aux chocs récents : Les pays du G7 diffèrent-ils les uns des autres … certain nombre de différences dans l'impact estimé des prix à l'importation des produits de base et des taux de change sur l'inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045826
Two extraordinary U.S. labor market developments facilitated the sharp disinflation in 2022-23 without raising the unemployment rate. First, pandemic-driven infection worries and social distancing intentions caused a sizable drag on labor force participation that began to reverse in the first...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014576613
The paper seeks to shed light on inflation dynamics of four new EU member states (the Czech Republic, Hungary, Poland … inflation-forcing variable is fragile. (2) Inflation seems to be driven by external factors. (3) Although inflation holds … forward-looking component, the backward-looking one is substantial. An intuitive explanation for higher inflation persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003949344
This paper examines the relationship between the output gap and inflation in Japan by estimating Phillips curves and … testing for changes since the advent of low inflation and/or the stabilisation of the rate of change of inflation. The work … provides empirical support for the hypothesis of a change in the relationship between output and inflation in an environment of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444474
In recent years, inflation in the euro area has failed to decelerate decisively while cyclical slack built up in the … analysis conducted on two decades of quarterly data covering 17 countries yields a yes on both counts. First, inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444759
Building on the results in Nalewaik (FEDS 2015-93), this work models wage growth and core PCE price inflation as regime … price inflation that becomes much larger after labor markets tighten beyond a certain point. The results are informative for … assessing the likelihood and risks of meeting certain inflation targets on a sustained basis …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011578735
A statistically significant relationship between the unemployment gap and inflation can be found for a clear majority … slack on inflation can often be dominated by other shocks, including imported inflation. The current Secretariat Phillips … curve specification assumes inflation expectations are anchored at the central bank’s target, although some experimentation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012202854
The US and other advanced countries suffered bursts of severe inflation in 2021 and the first half of 2022, followed by … declines of inflation later in 2022, in some countries. In times of high volatility of price determinants--cost and … productivity--inflation can jump upward and fall downward at high speed, contrary to the uniformly sticky behavior associated with …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247946