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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009324602
. Our estimates are based on in-fill asymptotics for directly identifying the jumps, together with Extreme Value Theory (EVT … that the distributions of the systematic and idiosyncratic jumps are both generally heavy-tailed and close to symmetric …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011052337
We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps …-capitalization stocks traded on the Euronext-Paris Bourse. We find that, at tick frequency, the overnight return, the intraday jumps, and … microstructure model explains on average 47.7% of the total variation. Once jumps are filtered and parameters are estimated in real …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
We extend the asymmetric, stochastic, volatility model by modeling the return-volatility distribution nonparametrically. The novelty is modeling this distribution with an infinite mixture of Normals, where the mixture unknowns have a Dirichlet process prior. Cumulative Bayes factors show our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010730133
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014288373
We develop new methods for the estimation of time-varying risk-neutral jump tails in asset returns. In contrast to existing procedures based on tightly parameterized models, our approach imposes much fewer structural assumptions, relying on extreme-value theory approximations together with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011077613
In order to shed new light on the influence of volume and economic fundamentals on the long-run volatility of the Chinese stock market we follow the methodology introduced by Engle et al. (2009) and Engle and Rangel (2008) to account for the effects of macro fundamentals, and augment it with...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010709340
Dynamic economic models make predictions about impulse responses that characterize how macroeconomic processes respond to alternative shocks over different horizons. From the perspective of asset pricing, impulse responses quantify the exposure of macroeconomic processes and other cash flows to...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024262
extent to which the ECB caused jumps in euro area interest rates. The new surprises still prevail upon the traditional ones …. Jumps play a great role in the variation of interest rates and the ECB induced several jumps with its decisions, but its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065746
includes (i) Gaussian shocks with stochastic variance, (ii) jumps up and down in the exchange rate, and (iii) jumps in the … probability of jumps in variance is increasing in the variance but not related to interest rates. Many of the jumps in exchange … rates are associated with macroeconomic and political news, but jumps in variance are not. Overall, jumps account for 25% of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083487