PIRINO, DAVIDE; RENÒ, ROBERTO - In: International Journal of Theoretical and Applied … 13 (2010) 02, pp. 285-299
We propose a simple univariate model for the dynamics of spot electricity prices. The model is nonparametric in the sense that it is free from parametric model assumptions and flexible in capturing the dynamics of the data. The estimation is performed in two steps. Preliminarily, spikes are...