Emerging economies that are large oil producers have sizable external debt, their country risk rises when oil prices fall, and several of them have defaulted at least once since 1979. Moreover, while oil and non-oil output reduce country risk on impact and in the long-run, oil reserves reduce it...

A framework for describing nonlinear rational expectation models is developed that synthesizes previously described approaches. Computational issues for solving such models include how the expectation operator is approximated, what family of approximation is used for the solution function, what...

We introduce a new time series measure of the extent of federal regulation in the U.S. and use it to investigate the relationship between federal regulation and macroeconomic performance. We find that regulation has statistically and economically significant effects on aggregate output and the...

The Permanent Income Hypothesis (PIH) predicts an income innovation has the same size effect on consumption as on permanent income, an implication we examine with a cross-country test proposed by Kormendi & LaHaye (1984). The data from industrial countries support PIH but data from developing...

We construct an overlapping generations model to study the effect of capital controls on human capital investments and the incidence of redistributive taxation in a growing economy. We argue that the conventional wisdom linking higher capital controls to lower growth is reproduced only when an...