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Common ratio effects should be ruled out if subjects’ preferences satisfy compound independence, reduction of compound … lotteries, and coalescing. In other words, at least one of these axioms should be violated in order to generate a common ratio … observation of common ratio effects. We observe that compound independence and reduction of compound lotteries hold, whereas …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010959272
We present a theory of discrete choice with information costs that supports deliberate stochastic choice. We use a unique experimental dataset to distinguish between errors arising from limitations on a decision maker's cognitive abilities and conscious disregard of information. Experimental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011263911
We study the problem of optimal reinsurance as a means of risk management in the regulatory framework of Solvency II under Conditional Value-at-Risk and, as its natural extension, spectral risk measures. First, we show that stop-loss reinsurance is optimal under both Conditional Value-at-Risk...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116640
In this paper, we prove a maximum principle for general stochastic differential Stackelberg games, and apply the theory to continuous time newsvendor problems. In the newsvendor problem, a manufacturer sells goods to a retailer, and the objective of both parties is to maximize expected profits...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051984
This note axiomatizes the incomplete preference ordering that reflects statewise dominance with respect to expected utility, as well as the according choice correspondence. The main motivation is to clarify how admissibility as understood by statisticians relates to existing axiomatizations. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011041776
The paper introduces a notion of complementarity (substitutability) of two signals which requires that in all decision problems each signal becomes more (less) valuable when the other signal becomes available. We provide a general characterization which relates complementarity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042929
This paper unifies and extends the recent axiomatic literature on minimax regret. It compares several models of minimax regret, shows how to characterize the according choice correspondences in a unified setting, extends one of them to choice from convex (through randomization) sets, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011042942
The 1/N investment strategy, i.e. the strategy to split one’s wealth uniformly between the available investment possibilities, recently received plenty of attention in the literature. In this paper, we demonstrate that the uniform investment strategy is rational in situations where an agent is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010577944
Online publishers sell opportunities to show ads. Some advertisers pay only if their ad elicits a user response. Publishers estimate response rates for ads in order to estimate expected revenues from showing the ads. Then publishers select ads that maximize estimated expected revenue.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010582612
The decision-theoretic literature has developed very few techniques to bound the expected utility of a random variable when only simple statistics like its median or mode or mean are known. One reason for this lack of results is that we are missing a convenient way to link probability theory and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005244915