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Risky Oil : It's All in the Tails
Baumeister, Christiane; Huber, Florian; Marcellino, … - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
The substantial fluctuations in oil prices in the wake of the COVID-19 pandemic and the Russian invasion of Ukraine have highlighted the importance of tail events in the global market for crude oil which call for careful risk assessment. In this paper we focus on forecasting tail risks in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544801
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Are there gains from pooling real-time oil price forecasts?
Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz; Lee, Thomas - 2014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010393825
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Oil-price uncertainty and international stock returns : dissecting quantile-based predictability and spillover effects using more than a century of data
Balcilar, Mehmet; Gupta, Rangan; Pierdzioch, Christian - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013166706
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Forecasting the price of crude oil
Bollapragada, Ramesh; Mankude, Akash; Udayabhanu, V. - In: Decision : official journal of Indian Institute of … 48 (2021) 2, pp. 207-231
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622222
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Crude oil price forecasting based on internet concern using an extreme learning machine
Wang, Jue; Athanasopoulos, George; Hyndman, Rob J.; … - In: International journal of forecasting 34 (2018) 4, pp. 665-677
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012031079
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Forecasting the prices of crude oil : an iterated combination approach
Zhang, Yaojie; Ma, Feng; Shi, Benshan; Huang, Dengshi - In: Energy economics 70 (2018), pp. 472-483
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011942869
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Predictability of crude oil prices : an investor perspective
Liu, Li; Wang, Yudong; Yang, Li - In: Energy economics 75 (2018), pp. 193-205
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011974002
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Interval decomposition ensemble approach for crude oil price forecasting
Sun, Shaolong; Sun, Yuying; Wang, Shouyang; Wei, Yunjie - In: Energy economics 76 (2018), pp. 274-287
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011976631
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Futures crude oil prices as predictors of spot prices : lessons from the foreign exchange market
Moosa, Imad A. - In: Journal of Post Keynesian economics 43 (2020) 3, pp. 391-416
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012261102
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Predicting equity premium by conditioning on macroeconomic variables : a prediction selection strategy using the price of crude oil
Nonejad, Nima - In: Finance research letters 41 (2021), pp. 1-9
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013335945