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Using a recently introduced rational expectation model of bubbles, based on the interplay between stochasticity and positive feedbacks of prices on returns and volatility, we develop a new methodology to test how this model classifies nine time series that have been previously considered as...
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We present a detailed methodological study of the application of the modified profile likelihood method for the calibration of nonlinear financial models characterised by a large number of parameters. We apply the general approach to the Log-Periodic Power Law Singularity (LPPLS) model of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011514498
Historically, symptoms of Mexican financial crises have been strongly reflected in the dynamics of the Mexican peso to the dollar exchange currency market. Specifically, in the Mexican financial crises during 1990's, the peso suffered significant depreciation processes, which has important...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010590898
We present a novel analysis extending the recent work of Mizuno et al. (Physica A 308 (2002) 411) on the hyperinflations of Germany (1920/1/1–1923/11/1), Hungary (1945/4/30–1946/7/15), Brazil (1969–1994), Israel (1969–1985), Nicaragua (1969–1991), Peru (1969–1990) and Bolivia...
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A method of seismic zonation based on deterministic modeling of rupture plane is presented in this work. This method is … based on the modeling of finite rupture plane along identified lineaments in the region using the semi-empirical technique … deterministic modeling of the rupture is consistent with the historical seismicity map and it has been found that the epicenter of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010995725
comparison of simulated and observed waveform has been made for various possibilities of rupture parameters in terms of root mean … square error. The final rupture model supports rupture velocity of 3.0 km/s with nucleation point supporting northward … propagating rupture that coincide with high-slip asperity defined by Sorensen et al. (Bull Seism Soc Am 97:S139–S151, <CitationRef …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010996381
moderate to large earthquakes. We assumed that the length of these clusters are indicating the possible maximum rupture lengths …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010996771