We provide a feasible generalized least squares estimator for (unrestricted) multivariate GARCH(1, 1) models. We show that the estimator is consistent and asymptotically normally distributed under mild assumptions. Unlike the (quasi) maximum likelihood method, the feasible GLS is considerably...

The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) model, designed to model volatility clustering, exhibits heavy-tailedness regardless of the distribution of its innovation term. When applying the model to financial time series, the distribution of innovations plays an...

This paper considers the short- and long-memory linear processes with GARCH (1,1) noises. The functional limit distributions of the partial sum and the sample autocovariances are derived when the tail index α is in (0,2), equal to 2, and in (2,∞), respectively. The partial sum weakly...

In order to analyze the electric-power demand and supply in China efficiently, this paper presents a Grey–Markov forecasting model to forecast the electric-power demand in China. This method takes into account the general trend series and random fluctuations about original time-series data. It...