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Systematic positive expected returns in the UK fixed odds betting market : an analysis of the Fink Tank predictions

Buraimo, Babatunde; Peel, David; Simmons, Robert - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 1 (2013) 4, pp. 168-182

We report striking evidence of semi-strong inefficiency in the UK fixed-odds football betting market using a reputable newspaper tipster which offers probabilities of match outcomes rather than simple result indicators. Betting on the Fink Tank probabilities of home wins across 10 bookmakers,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010243562

The effects of the clock and kickoff rule changes on actual and market-based expected scoring in NCAA football

Linna, Kenneth; Moore, Evan; Paul, Rodney J.; Weinbach, … - In: International Journal of Financial Studies : open … 2 (2014) 2, pp. 179-192

Clock rule changes were introduced in the 2006 season with the goal of reducing the average duration of the game; these changes were reversed in 2007. In addition, in 2007 the kickoff rule was changed to create more excitement and potentially more scoring. We examine what happened to actual and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010373272

Does sentiment harm market efficiency? : an empirical analysis using a betting exchange setting

Merz, Oliver; Flepp, Raphael; Franck, Egon - 2019

This paper investigates whether the sentimental preferences of investors influence market efficiency. We use a betting exchange market environment to analyze the influence of sentimental bettors on market efficiency in 2,333 soccer matches played between 2006-2014 during the last three hours of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012209059

An Alternative Explanation of the Favorite-Longshot Bias

Kukuk, Martin; Winter, Stefan - In: Journal of Gambling Business and Economics 2 (2008) 2, pp. 79-96

assumption of a homogeneous bettor population with a preference for risk. However, the risk-love explanation has also been … be the market equilibrium outcome even with risk neutral bettors and even if the median estimate is correct. We provide … evidence on four different types of bets broadly consistent with the noisy estimates assumption but not with the risk …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005256324

Within-series momentum in hockey: No returns for running up the score

Kniffin, Kevin M.; Mihalek, Vince - In: Economics Letters 122 (2014) 3, pp. 400-402

Drawing on data from 916 Division 1 men’s college hockey games played during a recent six-year period in the Western Collegiate Hockey Association (WCHA), we find evidence that positive momentum within 458 two-game series does not exist when controlling for team quality. We find that neither...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010743719

RISK ASSESSMENT OF PROGRESSIVE CASINO GAMES

Quigley, John; Revie, Matthew - In: Journal of Gambling Business and Economics 8 (2014) 1, pp. 1-23

This paper presents an investigation into the properties of a stochastic process whereby the value of a fund grows arithmetically and decays geometrically over discrete time periods. While this general structure is applicable to many situations, it is particularly prevalent in many casino games....

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010798279

An Empirical Analysis of Choices Between Gambles of Children and Adults in China

Zhang, Jie; Paya, Ivan; Peel, David - In: Journal of Gambling Business and Economics 4 (2010) 1, pp. 1-18

In a unique study Harbaugh, Krause and Vesterlund (2002), reported the interesting result that children exhibit different probability weighting to adults. In particular, children underweighted small probabilities. An objective of this paper is to re-examine this issue employing children...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008671241

Unfair Games, Subjective Probabilities, and Favourite-Longshot Bias in Finnish Horse Racing

Suhonen, Niko; Linden, Mikael - In: Journal of Gambling Business and Economics 4 (2010) 2, pp. 43-61

includes the attractiveness of risk, subjective probability, and the utility of money. We tested the favourite-longshot bias …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008800414

The calm after the storm : implied volatility and future stock index returns

Lubnau, Thorben Manfred; Todorova, Neda - In: The European journal of finance 21 (2015) 13/15, pp. 1282-1296

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011419879

The benefits of combining seasonal anomalies and technical trading rules

Ge̜bka, Bartosz; Hudson, Robert; Atanasova, Christina V. - In: Finance research letters 14 (2015), pp. 36-44

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011552592

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