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It is high time we rediscovered the role of the financial cycle in macroeconomics. In the environment that has prevailed for at least three decades now, it is not possible to understand business fluctuations and the corresponding analytical and policy challenges without understanding the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010943190
The recent financial crisis has triggered a major rethink of analytical approaches and policy toward financial stability. The crisis has encouraged a sharper focus on systemic risk, the inclusion of a financial sector in macroeconomic models, a shift from a microprudential to a macroprudential...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010603949
We critically review the state of the art in macro stress testing, assessing its strengths and weaknesses. We argue that, given current technology, macro stress tests are ill-suited as early warning devices, i.e. as tools for identifying vulnerabilities during seemingly tranquil times and for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010753195
OECD and emerging economies over the past four decades. For example, a bias in gross external liabilities towards debt has … stability by shifting external liabilities from debt towards FDI. In contrast, tax systems that favour debt finance over equity … finance have undermined stability by increasing the share of debt, including external debt, in corporate financing. Targeted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011276720
Macroeconomics remains in a parlous condition, largely because it has assumed away all financial frictions. Ultimately these latter depend on the possibility that borrowers might default on their repayments. Without default, there is no real role for most financial intermediations, collateral,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011117764
We study the effect of credit information sharing on the likelihood of banking crises using a comprehensive cross-country dataset for the period from 1975 to 2006. The empirical analysis shows that credit information sharing reduces the likelihood of banking crises and it does more so in low...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011065338
Malaysia has sustained over four decades of rapid, inclusive growth, reducing its dependence on agriculture and commodity exports to become a more diversified, modern and open economy. GDP per capita is now higher than in a number of OECD economies, while poverty and income inequality have...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011700166
The 2008 financial crisis is the worst economic crisis since the Great Depression of 1929. It has been characterised by a housing bubble in a context of rapid credit expansion, high risk-taking and exacerbated financial leverage, leading to deleveraging and credit crunch when the bubble burst....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008468635
private sector indebtedness. Robustness shows that the interaction between financial frictions and debt-deflation effects is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011051886
This paper estimates and simulates a sticky-price dynamic stochastic general-equilibrium model with a financial accelerator, a la Bernanke, Gertler, and Gilchrist (1999), to assess the importance of the financial accelerator mechanism in fitting the data and its role in the amplification and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005069610