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Do Double Majors Face Less Risk? : An Analysis of Human Capital Diversification
Hanks, Andrew S.; Jiang, Shengjun; Qian, Xuechao; Wang, Bo - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2024
We study how human capital diversification, in the form of double majoring, affects the response of earnings to labor market shocks. Double majors experience substantial protection against earnings shocks, of 56%. This finding holds across different model specifications and data sets....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014468295
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Labor market flows and stocks over the business cycle : the role of the participation margin
Galuščák, Kamil; Šolc, Jan; Strzelecki, Paweł - In: Eastern European economics : EEE 59 (2021) 5, pp. 449-471
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012650981
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Understanding informality
Elgin, Ceyhun; Kose, M. Ayhan; Ohnsorge, Franziska; Yu, Shu - 2021
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012612778
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Involuntary unemployment and the business cycle
Christiano, Lawrence J.; Trabandt, Mathias; Walentin, Karl - In: Review of economic dynamics 39 (2021), pp. 26-54
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012795084
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Hours and employment over the business cycle : a structural analysis
Cacciatore, Matteo; Fiori, Giuseppe; Traum, Nora - In: Review of economic dynamics 35 (2020), pp. 240-262
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012500084
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Chapter 18 Job reallocation, employment fluctuations and unemployment
Mortensen, Dale T.; Pissarides, Christopher A. - In: Handbook of macroeconomics : volume 1, part B, (pp. 1171-1228). 1999
properties of employment and unemployment equilibrium. Second, it applies the model to the study of employment fluctuations and … unemployed workers from inactivity to production (the ‘job creation’ flow) and one for the flow of workers from employment to … flows are equal. The model is shown to explain well the employment fluctuations observed in the US economy, within the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014024227
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Rethinking the Informal Economy and the Hugo Effect
Pappadà, Francesco; Rogoff, Kenneth S. - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
This paper offers a new approach to measuring the size of the informal economy based on VAT data for the European Union. Although data intensive, our EVADE measure is simpler and more transparent than existing measures. EVADE also shows more variation across countries of Europe than earlier...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014447284
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Business tendency surveys and macroeconomic fluctuations
Kaufmann, Daniel; Scheufele, Rolf - 2015
movements of key macroeconomic variables, i.e., CPI inflation, GDP, employment, and an output gap. In particular, questions … output gap and adds information to the benchmark forecasts for GDP and employment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010508347
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Inflation and Real Activity over the Business Cycle
Bianchi, Francesco; Nicolò, Giovanni; Song, Dongho - National Bureau of Economic Research - 2023
We study the relation between inflation and real activity over the business cycle. We employ a Trend-Cycle VAR model to control for low-frequency movements in inflation, unemployment, and growth that are pervasive in the post-WWII period. We show that cyclical fluctuations of inflation are...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014247995
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Chapter 7 Forecasting with Unobserved Components Time Series Models
Harvey, Andrew - 2006
Structural time series models are formulated in terms of components, such as trends, seasonals and cycles, that have a direct interpretation. As well as providing a framework for time series decomposition by signal extraction, they can be used for forecasting and for ‘nowcasting’. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014023699