Showing 1 - 10 of 23,837
In recent years, inflation in the euro area has failed to decelerate decisively while cyclical slack built up in the … analysis conducted on two decades of quarterly data covering 17 countries yields a yes on both counts. First, inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444759
We develop a novel method for the identification of monetary policy shocks. By applying natural language processing techniques to documents that Federal Reserve staff prepare in advance of policy decisions, we capture the Fed's information set. Using machine learning techniques, we then predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544696
Post-covid inflation was predominantly driven by unexpectedly strong demand forces, not only in the United States, but … inflation near its 2-percent target---would have severely hampered an already anaemic recovery …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056186
expected inflation. Such nominally sticky discount rates imply that increases in expected inflation directly lower firms' real … shocks and higher investment in response to government spending. Sticky discount rates imply that inflation has real effects … inflation expectations and permanently lowers the long-run inflation target in response to expansionary shocks, even when shocks …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014512092
inflation in the expected directions. Analysis of available policy records suggests that a contractionary monetary shock likely … impacts on real GDP and inflation in 2023 and 2024 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014250187
inflation, building on our earlier work for the United States. Globally, as in the United States, pandemic-era inflation was due … bank inflation targets. As the effects of supply shocks have subsided, tight labor markets, and the rises in nominal wages …, have become relatively more important sources of inflation in many countries. In several countries, including the United …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544809
This paper focuses on modeling and forecasting inflation in India using an augmented Phillips curve framework. Both … demand and supply factors are seen as drivers of inflation. Demand conditions are found to have a stronger impact on non …-food manufactured products (NFMP) inflation vis-a-vis headline wholesale price inflation; moreover, NFMP inflation is found to be more …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010868896
In recent years, inflation in the euro area has failed to decelerate decisively while cyclical slack built up in the … analysis conducted on two decades of quarterly data covering 17 countries yields a yes on both counts. First, inflation is … de l'inflation dans la zone euro<BR>Au cours des dernières années, l’inflation ne s’est pas ralentie de manière sensible …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005045977
This paper seeks to inform about a feature of monetary policy that is largely overlooked, yet occupies a central role in modern monetary and financial systems, namely central bank collateral frameworks. Their importance can be understood by the observation that the money at the core of these...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011296085
We consider what, if any, relationship there is between monetary aggregates and inflation, and whether there is any … paribus unitary relationship between inflation and money growth. Simulations of a New Keynesian model suggest that we should … allowance needed for the phase shift in the relationship between monetary growth rates and inflation. While financial innovation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025677