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We estimate a general microstructure model of the transitory and permanent impact of order flow on stock prices. Jumps are detected in both the transaction price (observation equation) and fundamental value (state equation). The model's parameters and variances are updated in real time. Prices...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256970
volatility, but without the estimation problems associated with the latter, and being applicable in the multivariate setting for … model in several ways, it allows for all the primary stylized facts of financial asset returns, including volatility … EM-algorithm is developed for estimation. Each element of the vector return at time t is endowed with a common univariate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256409
between real estate and stock markets by fitting different classes of time-varying volatility model; second, to perform VaR … processes, in terms of mean, volatility, correlation, can be compared. In the econometric analyses, we estimate both a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008735767
One of the most popular univariate asymmetric conditional volatility models is the exponential GARCH (or EGARCH …) specification. In addition to asymmetry, which captures the different effects on conditional volatility of positive and negative … subsequent shocks to volatility. However, the statistical properties of the (quasi-) maximum likelihood estimator of the EGARCH …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010392823
of risk, the interest rate, the stock market volatility, the equity premium and the moments of the consumption growth …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010256362
based on averages of past futures returns, normalized by their volatility. We test these strategies on a universe of 64 … asset class, realized futures volatility is contemporaneously negatively related to the Fama and French (1987) market (MKT … in trading costs. We construct measures of momentum-specific volatility, both within and across asset classes, and show …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011293745
A model-free methodology is used for the first time to estimate a daily volatility index (VIBEX-NEW) for the Spanish … display a negative, tight contemporaneous relationship with IBEX daily returns, contrary to other common volatility indicators …, as an implied volatility indicator or a GARCH(1,1) conditional volatility model. This relationship is approximately …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009355558
. This paper empirically examines (a) the statistical properties of the Korea's representative implied volatility index … volatility process of the index, using augmented heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) models with exogenous covariates. The results … macroeconomic variables explain the VKOSPI. More importantly, we find that the stock market return and implied volatility index of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011376746
agents, arbitrage activity has an impact on the price level and generates both excess volatility and the leverage effect. We …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010257492
We study how short-term informational advantages can be monetized in a high-frequency setting, when large inventories are explicitly penalized. We find that if most of the additional information is revealed regardless of the high-frequency traders' actions, then fast inventory management allows...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011412266