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OECD forecasts during and after the financial crisis : a post mortem
Pain, Nigel; Lewis, Christine; Dang, Thai Thanh; Jin, Yosuke - 2014
, there is little evidence that an underestimate of the impact of fiscal consolidation contributed significantly to forecast …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010374419
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Unemployment crises
Petrosky-Nadeau, Nicolas; Zhang, Lu - 2014 - Last rev.: July 16, 2014
A search and matching model, when calibrated to the mean and volatility of unemployment in the postwar sample, can potentially explain the unemployment crisis in the Great Depression. The limited responses of wages from credible bargaining to labor market conditions, along with the congestion...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010411443
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A note on uncertainty due to infectious diseases and output growth of the United States : a mixed-frequency forecasting experiment
Salisu, Afees A.; Gupta, Rangan; Demirer, Rıza - In: Annals of financial economics 17 (2022) 2, pp. 1-9
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013262971
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Doombot: a machine learning algorithm for predicting downturns in OECD countries
Chalaux, Thomas - 2023
automatically updated as the estimation sample period is extended, so facilitating out-of-sample evaluation of the algorithm. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014491385
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Hysteresis bands on returns, holding period and transaction costs
Delgado, Francisco; Dumas, Bernard; Puopolo, Giovanni W. - In: Journal of banking & finance 57 (2015), pp. 86-100
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011543798
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Investment as a transmission mechanism from weak demand to weak supply and the post-crisis productivity slowdown
Ollivaud, Patrice; Guillemette, Yvan; Turner, David - 2018
weakness, leading in turn to a deterioration of potential output via a hysteresis-like effect. For the most severely affected …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011914168
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Inflation and the NAIRU : assessing the role of long-term unemployment as a cause of hysteresis
Paternesi Meloni, Walter; Romaniello, Davide; Stirati, … - In: Economic modelling 113 (2022), pp. 1-17
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013349248
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Labour market forecasting in Germany : is disaggregation useful?
Weber, Enzo; Zika, Gerd - In: Applied economics 48 (2016) 22/24, pp. 2183-2198
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590454
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Marktbasierte Zinsprognosen mit Regime-Switching-Modellen
Ahrens, Ralf - 2000
Untersuchung zeigt der Autor Möglichkeiten der Prognose von Geld- und Kapitalmarktzinssätzen auf. Im Rahmen der dem Konzept der …-Switching-Technik ein. Im zweiten Hauptteil wird aus theoretischer Sicht gezeigt, daß die Prognose von Zinssätzen ökonomisch sinnvoll ist …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011402042
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Inside the crystal ball : new approaches to predicting the gasoline price at the pump
Baumeister, Christiane; Kilian, Lutz; Lee, Thomas - 2015
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011346927