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A statistically significant relationship between the unemployment gap and inflation can be found for a clear majority of OECD countries, but the magnitude of the effect is typically weak. A corollary is that the effect of labour market slack on inflation can often be dominated by other shocks,...
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Volatility has been one of the most active and successful areas of research in time series econometrics and economic forecasting in recent decades. This chapter provides a selective survey of the most important theoretical developments and empirical insights to emerge from this burgeoning...
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way of characterizing these interactions, but complicates both interpretation and estimation of parameters of interest …. The estimation of these models leads to three fundamental challenges: the “reflection problem,” the presence of omitted … or spatial differencing—used to address these problems in reduced form estimation. These general lessons carry over to …
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