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persistence. This view is questioned in the paper using German data on unemployment. A new class of time-series models, the …
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This study tests for a break in the persistence of EMU government bond yield spreads examining data from France, Italy … between 2006 and 2008. The persistence of the yield spreads against German government bonds has increased significantly after … evidence for positive excess kurtosis and GARCH-effects when persistence increases. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010744377
This paper examines the conditional time-varying currency betas from five developed and six emerging financial markets with contagion and spillover effects. We employ a trivariate asymmetric BEKK-type GARCH-in-Mean (MGARCH-M) approach to estimate the time-varying conditional variance and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010906891
The annual structure of real output in the G7 countries is investigated in this article by means of fractional integration techniques. However, instead of using the classical ARMA specifications for describing the short-run components of the series, we use an approach due to Bloomfield (1973)....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005579795
The paper addresses the issue of choice of bandwidth in the application of semiparametric estimation of the long memory parameter in a univariate time series process. The focus is on the properties of forecasts from the long memory model. A variety of cross-validation methods based on out of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011116278
The behavior of impulse response coefficients as persistence measures is discussed under fractional integration …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010594207
This paper deals with the analysis of two observed features in historical oil price data; in particular, persistence …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010939454