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Understanding the Recent Sino-U.S. Trade Conflict -- The Status of China’s Market Economy and Structural Reforms: The Issues behind the U.S.-China Trade War -- The Day After Tomorrow: Evaluating the Burden of Trump’s Trade War -- The Potential Impact of China–US BIT on China’s...
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We review theoretical and empirical work on the economic effects of the United States and China trade relations during the last decades. We first discuss the origins of the China shock, its measurement, and present methods used to study its economic effects on different outcomes. We then focus...
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We use the dynamics of U.S. imports across goods in the period around the U.S.-China trade war with a model of exporter dynamics to estimate the dynamic path of the probability of transiting between Normal Trade Relations and a trade war state. We find (i) there was no increase in the likelihood...
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