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balance, and a BEER model) is tested against the random walk specification to determine their assessment in predicting the … in the very short run (up to 2 quarters ahead), particularly the BEER specification, consistently outperform those …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010839348
For the small open economy of Botswana the PPP theory is validated in both the absolute and relative version for the Pula-Dollar exchange rate during the sample period 1992 third quarter to 2002 fourth quarter. The Pula-Dollar exchange rate is determined by the long-term trends in Botswana’s...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011212995
This paper examines mean reversion in real effective exchange rates in six leading Latin American economies during the XXth century using a new data set. A unit-root approach is complemented by an error-correction model including key fundamentals such as terms of trade, trade openness and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011048468
The half-life of deviations from purchasing power parity (PPP) plays a central role in the ongoing debate about the ability of macroeconomic models to account for the time series behaviour of the real exchange rate. The main contribution of this paper is a general framework in which alternative...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005792458
We propose that analysis of purchasing power parity (PPP) and the law of one price (LOOP) should explicitly take into account the possibility of ‘commodity points’ – thresholds delineating a region of no central tendency among relative prices, possibly due to lack of perfect arbitrage in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662194
Originally propounded by the 16th-century scholars of the University of Salamanca, the concept of purchasing power parity (PPP) was revived in the interwar period in the context of the debate concerning the appropriate level at which to re-establish international exchange rate parities. Broadly...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662378
We fit nonlinearly mean-reverting models to real dollar exchange rates over the post-Bretton Woods period, consistent with a theoretical literature on transaction costs in international arbitrage. The half lives of real exchange rate shocks, calculated through Monte Carlo integration, imply...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666576
In this Paper we assess the progress made by the profession in understanding whether and how exchange rate intervention works. To this end, we review the theory and evidence on official intervention, concentrating primarily on work published within the last decade or so. Our reading of the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005666659
on identifying the currency crises of China. Results are compared and evaluated by different approaches, and reveal …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010743996
In this paper, we consider an alternative perspective to China's exchange rate policy. We study a semi-open economy …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011083998