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Using a semi-supervised topic model on 7,000,000 New York Times articles spanning 160 years, we test whether topics of media discourse predict future stock and bond market returns to test rational and behavioral hypotheses about market valuation of disaster risk. Focusing on media discourse...
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Evidence supporting the weekend effect, also known as Monday Irrationality, has shown that conventional finance is unable to follow a rational behavior assumption. Many scholars have proposed a behavioral approach to explain this phenomenon; however, few studies have investigated this effect...
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This paper investigates how institutional investors matter for asset pricing by using daily institutional trading data and a natural experiment, the split–share structure reform in China. This reform required all listed companies to convert their non-tradable shares to tradable shares after...
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We study how the social transmission of public news influences investors' beliefs and securities markets. Using an extensive dataset to measure investor social networks, we find that earnings announcements from firms in higher-centrality locations generate stronger immediate price and trading...
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Introduction -- Money, Bonds and Economic Activity: Money, Bonds and Interest Rates -- Term Structure of Interest Rates -- The Credit Market and Economic Activity: Theories on Credit Market, Credit Risk and Economic Activity -- Empirical Tests on Credit Market and Economic Activity -- The Stock...
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