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In recent years, inflation in the euro area has failed to decelerate decisively while cyclical slack built up in the … analysis conducted on two decades of quarterly data covering 17 countries yields a yes on both counts. First, inflation is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012444759
We develop a novel method for the identification of monetary policy shocks. By applying natural language processing techniques to documents that Federal Reserve staff prepare in advance of policy decisions, we capture the Fed's information set. Using machine learning techniques, we then predict...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544696
States, curbing wage inflation and returning price inflation to target may require a period of modestly higher unemployment … inflation, building on our earlier work for the United States. Globally, as in the United States, pandemic-era inflation was due … bank inflation targets. As the effects of supply shocks have subsided, tight labor markets, and the rises in nominal wages …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014544809
Post-covid inflation was predominantly driven by unexpectedly strong demand forces, not only in the United States, but … inflation near its 2-percent target---would have severely hampered an already anaemic recovery …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015056186
This paper explores the interrelation between the degree of unemployment persistence and the unemployment … unemployment and making unemployment less persistent, the less effective will be the growth-promoting supply-side policies (such as … training schemes) in reducing unemployment. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005662035
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description of the U.S. business cycle, and that the inflation/unemployment trade-off facing monetary policymakers is … staggered nominal wage bargaining. We find that the estimated natural rate of unemployment is consistent with the NBER … unemployment gaps are more efficient than rules responding to output or unemployment growth rates, also in the presence of …
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