Cover -- Half Title -- Title Page -- Copyright Page -- Dedication -- Table of Contents -- List of illustrations -- 1. Biology and Psychology in Finance -- Nature versus Nurture -- What Can We Learn from the Financial Decisions of Twins? -- Investment of Adoptees and the Human Genome -- Do Men...

Purpose: Financial analysts have been found to be overconfident. The purpose of this paper is to study the ramifications of that overconfidence on the dispersion of earnings estimates as a predictor of the US business cycle. Design/methodology/approach: Whether aggregate analyst forecast...