In a panel survey of individual investors, we show that investors’ second-order beliefs—their beliefs about the return expectations of other investors—influence investment decisions. Investors who believe others hold more optimistic stock market expectations allocate more of their own...

While it appears that a consensus is crystalising with regard to the hierarchy of concepts such as “knowledge”, “definition” and “information”, there is an increasing urgency for improving definitions of these terms. Strategies such as “knowledge extraction” or “data mining”...

Abstract This paper concerns the interpretation of equilibrium in non-additive beliefs in two-player normal form games. We argue that such equilibria involve beliefs and actions which are consistent with a lack of common knowledge of the game. Our argument rests on representation results which...

Abstract By analogy with the classical case of a probability measure, we extend the notion of increasing convex (concave) stochastic dominance relation to the case of a normalized monotone (but not necessarily additive) set function also called a capacity. We give different characterizations...

Abstract In our previous work, we have extended the classical notion of increasing convex stochastic dominance relation with respect to a probability to the more general case of a normalized monotone (but not necessarily additive) set function, also called a capacity. In the present paper, we...

We provide an axiomatic approach to a belief formation process in an informational environment characterized by limited, heterogenous and differently precise information. For a list of previously observed cases an agent needs to express her belief by assigning probabilities to possible outcomes....