This paper deals with dynamic adjustment in large economies to changes in the rate of capital income taxation or in the rate of investment tax credit in one country. The framework applied in the paper is a continuous-time, overlapping generations model with two countries. It features population...

This paper considers the relation between the external balance and economic policy formation in the context of the Danish economy during the last three decades. The main lines of macroeconomic development, the structure of the economy and economic policy in this period are expounded, and the...

The paper studies the dynamic macroeconomic effects of various forms of capital income taxation in a model of a small open economy with perfect mobility of financial capital and intertemporal optimization on the part of households and firms. One of the noteworthy results is that the introduction...

This note studies the sustainability of primary budget deficits in a situation where the public sector has also incurred debt to the private sector. It shows that if the rate of pure time preference is small relative to the population growth rate, if public consumption constitutes a modest...

The paper discusses the dynamics of inflation and money growth in a stochastic framework, allowing for double unit roots in the nominal variables. It gives some examples of typical I(2) ’symptoms’ in empirical I(1) models and provides both a nontechnical and a technical discussion of the...

Recent research on contingent claims valuation has assumed increasingly general models of the behavior of cash securities. Relatively few attempts have been made to implement and evaluate such models empirically, however. In this paper we apply a multi-factor, continuous time pricing model to...

The long-run foreign transmission effects are analyzed in a multivariate time-series model of Danish and German prices, exchange rates and interest rates. The analysis of the likelihood function reveals that the vector process is I(2), but that a linear transformation of the prices and the...

The persistent movements away from long-run benchmark values in real exchange rates, dubbed the PPP puzzle, observed in many real exchange rates during periods of currency float have been subject to much empirical research without resolving the puzzle. The paper demonstrates how the cointegrated...

Some recent developments in the macroeconometric analysis of time series are discussed in the light of Haavelmo (1944). Experimental design in econometrics is discussed and related to the case of passive observation. The general ideas are illustrated with an analysis of the long-run and...

In this paper we apply the encompassing principle to test whether a model that has been estimated with seasonally adjusted data (SA) can encompass a model that is based on non-seasonllay adjusted (NSA) data. Building upon and extending the work på Ericsson, Hendry and Tran (1994) who analyze...