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Can the Federal Reserve Bank’s Survey of Agricultural Credit Conditions Forecast Land Values?

Zakrzewicz, Christopher J.; Brorsen, B. Wade; … - Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA - 2010

The value of land dominates the financial structure of most American agricultural production firms, and land values are an important factor in long-term agricultural planning and risk management. As the primary source of collateral for farm loans, farmland values have significant implications...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020813

Forecasting Corn Futures Volatility in the Presence of Long Memory, Seasonality and Structural Change

Wang, Xiaoyang; Garcia, Philip - Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA - 2011

Price volatility in the corn market has changed considerably globalization and stronger linkages to the energy complex. Using data from January 1989 through December 2009, we estimate and forecast the volatility in the corn market using futures daily prices. Estimates in a Fractional Integrated...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009021147

Relative Performance of Semi-Parametric Nonlinear Models in Forecasting Basis

Onel, Gulcan; Karali, Berna - Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA - 2014

another. These parametric nonlinear models, however, involve complex estimation problems, and may diminish forecasting … the forecasting performance with its simplicity and flexibility while still accounting for nonlinearities in local prices …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011068503

U.S. Cotton Prices and the World Cotton Market: Forecasting and Structural Change

Isengildina-Massa, Olga; MacDonald, Stephen - Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA - 2009

.S. Department of Agriculture to resume publishing cotton price forecasts for the first time in 79 years. In addition, systematic … problems have become apparent in the forecasting models used by USDA and elsewhere, highlighting the need for an updated review …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005012697

Forecasting Housing Prices under Different Submarket Assumptions

Chen, Zhuo; Cho, Seong-Hoon; Poudyal, Neelam C.; … - Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA - 2007

This research evaluated forecasting accuracy of hedonic price models based on a number of different submarket … forecasting housing prices with submarkets defined using expert knowledge and by school district and combining information … in an urban setting and surrounding areas in that forecasting models based on expert knowledge of market structure or …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005476758

Land Use Change and Ecosystem Valuation in North Georgia

Ngugi, Daniel; Mullen, Jeffrey D.; Bergstrom, John C. - Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA - 2008

A model of land allocation at the aggregate watershed level was developed assuming profit/net benefit maximization under risk neutrality. The econometric land use model was analyzed as an equation by equation SURE model as all the independent variables were the same for both equations. In...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005483452

The Impact of Alternative Market Orientation Strategies on Firm Performance: Customer versus Competitor Orientation

Micheels, Eric T.; Gow, Hamish R. - Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA - 2010

Research studies have differed over the importance of the relative emphasis of a customer versus competitor orientation in the development of a market orientation (Slater and Narver, 1994; Tajeddini, 2010). In this study, we assess whether the emphasis of one component over another of a market...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020414

Is Agricultural Production Spillover the Rationale Behind NEPAD CAADP Framework? Spatial Econometric Approach

Ulimwengu, John M.; Sanyal, Prabuddha - Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA - 2010

Since 2003, the NEPAD Comprehensive Africa Agriculture Development Programme (CAADP) has been endorsed by African Heads … Africa. The program aims at stimulating agriculture-led development that eliminates hunger and reduces poverty and food …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020415

Modeling the Effects of Cap and Trade and a Carbon Offset Policy on Crop Allocations and Farm Income

Nalley, Lawton Lanier; Popp, Michael P. - Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA - 2010

A static, producer profit maximization framework is used to capture county level land use choice on the basis of profitability, greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions to the farm gate as well as soil carbon sequestration as affected by tillage and soil type. Policy scenarios of a 5% GHG cap on...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020458

Implications of Immigration Policies for the U.S. Farm Sector and Workforce

Devadoss, Stephen; Luckstead, Jeff - Agricultural and Applied Economics Association - AAEA - 2010

We develop a theoretical model using migration and trade theory to examine the effects of domestic and border enforcement policies on unauthorized workers and the U.S. agricultural sector. The theoretical results show that heightened immigration policies increase the illegal farm wage rate, and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020467