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that significantly decline when futures price volatility is high and when delivery basis weakens significantly … volatility. Overall, we were able to observe ostensible changes in hedgers‟ market participation under changing market conditions. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011070095
published information on milk prices. A structural price volatility-trading volume model is specified and is estimated using the … price volatility, which is opposite to the typical “Samuelson effect” for other commodity futures, and (ii) both price …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011069005
This paper assesses the roles of various factors influencing the volatility of crude oil prices and the possible … linkage between this volatility and agricultural commodity markets. Stochastic volatility models are applied to weekly crude … including mean-reversion, a negative correlation between price and volatility, volatility clustering, and infrequent compound …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005000488
This research develops a theory of how market structure and belief formation drive survival and ownership of marketplaces. This paper explains the process for deriving theoretical predictions about these phenomena and suggests how comparison of theoretical predictions with actual outcomes in the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005805883
The present study advocates a simulation approach to analyze quantitatively the impact of having locally-based markets for price derivatives. A major result is that market outcomes do not appear to be sensitive to most of the underlying parameters of the model other than demand elasticity and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005806717
volatility, it would actually increase domestic price volatility in developing countries, largely by restricting imports when …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020665
of income. Yet some in this debate have argued that, given the extreme volatility in agricultural commodity markets, the …. Results indicate that the short-run impacts of trade liberalization on poverty are not distinguishable from market volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020709
Replaced with revised version of paper 07/22/11.
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009020960
This paper analyzes the transmission from global commodity to domestic food prices for a large set of countries. First, a theoretical model is developed to explain price transmission for different trade regimes. Drawing from the competitive storage model under rational expectations, it is shown...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011068580
shocks have a greater impact in the volatility of returns in coffee than positive shocks. The presence of the leverage effect …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011068678