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Buch, Claudia M.; Doepke, Joerg; Pierdzioch, Christian - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2002

Stylized facts suggest that output volatility in OECD countries has declined in recent years. However, the causes and … structural breaks in the dynamics and the volatility of the real output process in Germany can be detected. We report evidence … that output volatility has declined in Germany. Yet, this decline in output volatility is not as clear-cut as it is in the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005755211

Leading indicators for Euroland's business cycle

Döpke, Jörg - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 1998

The paper investigates a set of possible leading indicators for Euroland's business cycle using aggregated quarterly data. The theoretical plausibility, the behavior at business cycle turning points and the mean leads are analyzed. Furthermore, evidence from cross-correlations and...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009276194

Extensive vs. Intensive Margin in Germany and the United States: Any Differences?

Merkl, Christian; Wesselbaum, Dennis - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2009

This papers analyzes the role of the extensive vis-à-vis the intensive margin of labor adjustment in Germany and the United States. The contribution is twofold. First, we provide an update of older U.S. studies and confirm the view that the extensive margin (i.e., the adjustment in the number...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008531660

Wage Rigidity and Job Creation

Haefke, Christian; Sonntag, Marcus; Rens, Thijs van - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2009

Standard macroeconomic models underpredict the volatility of unemployment fluctuations. A common solution is to assume … jobs. This form of wage rigidity does not affect job creation and thus cannot explain the unemployment volatility puzzle …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005700599

Assessing the Effects of the Terrorist Attacks on the U.S. Economy

Strauß, Hubert - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2001

The terrorist attacks of September 11 have challenged the view that the U.S. economy is on the brink of recovery. This article discusses the effects of the attacks on real GDP taking the Kiel InstituteÂ’s forecast of September 10 as the baseline scenario. The focus is on assessing the direct...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818792

National and International Business Cycle Effects of Housing Crises

Jannsen, Nils - Institut für Weltwirtschaft (IfW) - 2009

Housing crises usually go hand in hand with a long lasting recession and a considerable loss in output. We first re-examine the effects of a housing crises on the business cycle based on historical crises. Then we estimate the international spill-over-effects if several huge industrial countries...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005818914