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Fragility that periodically erupts into a full-blown financial crisis appears to be an integral feature of market-based financial systems in spite of the emergence of sophisticated risk management tools and regulatory systems. If anything, the increased frequency of modern crises underscores how...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012232895
We analyse the links between credit default swap (CDS) and bond spreads and try to determine which one is the leading market in the price discovery process. To do that, we construct a sample of CDS premia and bonds spreads on a generic 5-year bond, for 17 financials and 18 sovereigns. First, we...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008861800
This paper investigates the asymmetric and nonlinear transmission of financial and energy prices to US five-year financial CDS sector index spreads for the banking, financial services and insurance sectors in the short- and long-run over the recent periods including the world financial crisis....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011149760
increasingly featured, along with linear counterparts, in the forecasting literature. In this study, we focus on forecasting South … competing model consistently and significantly beats the LoLiMoT's performance in forecasting South African inflation. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011095462
model for forecasting South African variables. We compare the recursive out-of-sample forecasts for South African GDP and … forecasting output, while the AR(1) model outperforms all the other models in predicting inflation. We also conduct ex ante …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010891727