Lozano, Ignacio; Toro, Jorge - BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - 2007
recession and recovery period 1999-2003, the cyclical component attained, on average, -0,5% of the GDP which explained only 8 …% of the actual overall deficit. More recently in 2006, the cyclical component amounted to +0,8% of the GDP, equivalent to … been pro-cyclical over the last 45 years or so, with the primary surplus falling (and the deficit rising) as a share of GDP …