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recession and recovery period 1999-2003, the cyclical component attained, on average, -0,5% of the GDP which explained only 8 …% of the actual overall deficit. More recently in 2006, the cyclical component amounted to +0,8% of the GDP, equivalent to … been pro-cyclical over the last 45 years or so, with the primary surplus falling (and the deficit rising) as a share of GDP …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005464419
The objective of this paper is to analyze how international cycles affect the real GDPcycle and so monetary policy decisions in Colombia. We estimate that cycles in worldGDP, export prices and capital inflows are strongly associated with the Colombianbusiness cycle both on impact and even during...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005597638
The recent financial crisis has renewed the interest of economists, both at the theoretical and empirical level, in developing a better understanding of credit and its mechanisms. A rapidly growing strand of the literature views banks as facing funding restrictions that condition their borrowing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010828174
In this paper we expanded the closed economy model by Bernanke and Gertler (1999) in order to account for the macroeconomic effects of an asset price bubble in the context of a small open economy model. During the nineties emerging market economies opened their financial accounts to foreign...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010885940
The history of economic recessions has shown that every deep downturn has been accompanied by disruptions in the ?financial sector. Paradoxically, up until the ?financial world crisis of 2007-2009, little attention was given to macroeconomic and ?financial interdependence. And, in spite of a...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010946007
I build a general equilibrium, Þnancial accelerator model that incorporates an explicit technology for the intermediary sector. A credit multiplier emerges be- cause of a borrowing constraint that is a function of asset prices, internal funds and lending rates. With this Þnancial friction I...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005262696
This paper analyses the role of a costly financial system in the transmission of monetarypolicy. The new-keynesian model for a small open economy is extended with asimple financial system based in Hamann and Oviedo (2006). The presence of the financialintermediation naturally allows the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005262738
Este trabajo utiliza el concepto de ciclos de crecimiento y lo diferenciadel de ciclo de negocios. Se estiman las fechas de ocurrencia de losciclos de crecimiento en Colombia entre 1980 y 2007 utilizando losmétodos de Bry y Boschan (1971) y Boschan y Ebanks (1978) conocido,este último, como...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005262764
Este trabajo tiene como objetivo estimar las elasticidades de demanda de empleo moderno total y no calificado, haciendo énfasis en las asimetrías presentes en las distintas fases del ciclo económico colombiano. Para tal fin, se estiman modelos MS-VAR(p) siguiendo la metodología propuesta por...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009645756
La evidencia empírica para Colombia muestra relaciones tanto positivas como negativas entre el crecimiento del producto y empleo, a diferencia de lo encontrado en economías desarrolladas como la de los Estados Unidos. El presente trabajo usa modelos VAR y de Equilibrio General Dinámico y...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009200973